When I surf through the web yesterday I ended up with a web page with the topic “The next 100 years according to Sir Arthur C. Clarke”. You can also visit that page here. Actually it is a list of predictions made by him in his 1963 book “Profiles of the Future”. His predictions for the future from 1970-2100 was there. The web page was published on year 2002 and that’s why they’ve named it “…next 100 years…”. Even the purpose of the web page is to bring the predictions of the future, my curiosity was to check whether the predictions he made for 1970-2010 has become true.
Well, let’s take a look at what he has said about the transportation.
- 1970-1980 - Space Lab, Lunar landing, Nuclear Rocket
- Actually the Lunar landing became a reality even before 1970, and the Space Stations were created in 70’s but the nuclear rocket is still developing.
- 1980-1990 - Planetary Landings
- 1990-2010 - Colonizing Planets
- None of the above two predictions become true and they seem to be happen in far future.
In the field of communication;
- 1970-1980 -Translating machine
- This also didn’t become true but as the development of the computational power this is becoming a reality.
- 1980-1990 - Personal radio
- With the development of cellphones this is a reality now.
- 1990-2000 - Artificial Intelligence
- This also seem to be happen in far future.
- 2000-2010 - Global Library
- WWW is more than a global library and occurred before 2000.
Sir Arthur C. Clarke has also made predictions in the fields of materials manufacturing, Biology and Chemistry and Physics. But this post is becoming too long so may be I’ll describe them later. Keep visiting my blog.
5 Comments to "Sir Arthur C. Clarke’s predictions - did they come true?"
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He has done many predictions based on AI. But so far nothing new came to AI world after 80’s. What happened was computing power just got larger and earlier applications were developed in larger scale.
So, unless someone finds a good way to implement a real brain functionality, most of these predictions are just gonna be some fancy science fictions.
P.S. - The links in your theme is not clear. Just change the color of your links so that people can easily see the links.
Well contrary to what Sandaruwan states, there are reports that Google will be in a position to have a working AI within a few years. They are certainly approaching the capacity.
http://www.901am.com/2007/google-to-rule-the-earth.html
Moore’s law makes it kinda inevitable in a way.
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